As of July 12, 2023, former President Donald Trump leads his closest rival and current Florida Governor Ron DeSantis 51% to 19% in the Hawkeye State Poll. All other candidates remain in the single digits, with only 0.1% choosing “someone else” and 8.5% remaining “undecided”. Crosstabs can be viewed via the link below.
The Hawkeye State Battleground Poll interviewed 1057 likely voters from July 9 – July 12, 2023, to include 478 likely Republican caucus-goers. The overall sampling error is ± 3.0% at a 95% confidence interval and ± 4.5% at a 95% confidence interval for Republican caucus-goers. Interviews conducted online are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and phone interviews including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from the Aristotle National Voter File Database. Likely primary voters were screened for eligibility by registration and intent due to Iowa’s closed primary system. Results were weighted for gender, age, race, education, and region. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the Public Polling Project, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.